UEFA Nations League

World• Dortmund
March 23, 25

Germany

3 - 3
FT

Italy

Main Tip
1 - 1or2 - 1
(64%)
13°Covercast clouds
78% 0.9 m/s

Expert AI Football Betting Tips & Match Analysis

Detailed AI football prediction for the Germany vs Italy match in the UEFA Nations League (World), scheduled for March 23, 25. Form analysis: Germany enters the match with a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 games, averaging 2.8 goals scored. Italy's recent form shows 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses from their last 5 fixtures, with a 2.0 goals per game average. Head-to-head (1 encounters): Germany leads with 1 wins, Italy has 0 wins, and 0 matches ended in a draw; H2H clashes average 3.0 goals. Find complete statistics, analysis, and reliable AI betting tips for this fixture.

Team Performance Metrics

home team flag

Germany

Average Goals per Game
2.70
Average of 2.70 goals scored per match
Formation
4-2-3-1
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.4
Defensive Efficiency rated 7.4/10
Offensive Efficiency
7.1
Offensive Efficiency rated 7.1/10
Overall Team Performance
7.4
Overall team performance rated 7.4/10
Average Shots On Goal
8.9
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
38.4%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate
away team flag

Italy

Average Goals per Game
1.90
Average of 1.90 goals scored per match
Formation
3-5-2
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.0
Defensive Efficiency rated 7.0/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.8
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.8/10
Overall Team Performance
6.9
Overall team performance rated 6.9/10
Average Shots On Goal
4.9
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
30.8%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate

Recent Matches

Germany team flag

Germany

Germany team flagGermany
3 - 3
ItalyItaly team flag
March 23, 25
Italy team flagItaly
1 - 2
GermanyGermany team flag
March 20, 25
Hungary team flagHungary
1 - 1
GermanyGermany team flag
November 19, 24
Germany team flagGermany
7 - 0
Bosnia & H.Bosnia & Herzegovina team flag
November 16, 24
Germany team flagGermany
1 - 0
NetherlandsNetherlands team flag
October 14, 24

Insights

Won 60% of last 5 matches
Scored in last 5 matches
Highest score in last 5: 7 goals
Goal difference in last 5: +9
Currently unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Averaging 2.8 goals per game in last 5
Italy team flag

Italy

Germany team flagGermany
3 - 3
ItalyItaly team flag
March 23, 25
Italy team flagItaly
1 - 2
GermanyGermany team flag
March 20, 25
Italy team flagItaly
1 - 3
FranceFrance team flag
November 17, 24
Belgium team flagBelgium
0 - 1
ItalyItaly team flag
November 14, 24
Italy team flagItaly
4 - 1
IsraelIsrael team flag
October 14, 24

Insights

Scored in last 5 matches
Highest score in last 5: 4 goals

Head to Head

Italy team flagItaly
1 - 2
GermanyGermany team flag
Mar 20, 2025

Best Bets

Total - Home: Over 0.51.17
Double Chance: Home/Draw1.19
Goals Over/Under: Over 1.51.26

Prediction Insight

1 - 1
or2 - 1
64%

Statistical analysis indicates a compelling 64% probability for this outcome. Our models show positive trends in recent performance data, supported by tactical matchup advantages and historical precedents. While not our highest-confidence pick, the risk-reward ratio appears favorable based on comprehensive team analytics and situational factors.

High-Value Opportunity
Confidence Level: High
Germany: We predicted 6 correct scores out of the last 8 games (75% accuracy)
64%

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