Liga Pro

Ecuador• Loja
April 5, 25

Libertad

1 - 3
Final

El Nacional

Prediction:
1 - 1or1 - 0
(61%)
12°Cclear sky
92% 1.84 m/s

Libertad vs El Nacional Prediction | Expert AI Football Betting Tips & Match Analysis | April 5, 25

Loja's Liga Pro plays host to an intriguing battle between Libertad and El Nacional, as both sides aim to strengthen their position in the standings.

Recent performances from Libertad have been marked by stability, securing 3 draws and averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their defensive record of 2 clean sheets demonstrates their resilience.
The visitors' form has been concerning, with 6 defeats in their last 9 matches, though their ability to find the net (0.8 goals per game) offers some encouragement.

El Nacional have enjoyed considerable success in this fixture, securing 3 wins from 3 previous encounters. These matches have averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Given the competitive nature of both teams and current circumstances, this match presents multiple potential outcomes, making it an intriguing tactical battle to watch.

Team Performance Metrics

home team flag

Libertad

Average Goals per Game
1.70
Average of 1.7 goals scored per match
Formation
4-4-2
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
5.7
Defensive Efficiency rated 5.7/10
Offensive Efficiency
5.6
Offensive Efficiency rated 5.6/10
Overall Team Performance
5.7
Overall team performance rated 5.7/10
Avg Shots On Goal
4.6
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
45.8%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate
away team flag

El Nacional

Average Goals per Game
1.20
Average of 1.2 goals scored per match
Formation
4-4-2
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
6.9
Defensive Efficiency rated 6.9/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.8
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.8/10
Overall Team Performance
6.9
Overall team performance rated 6.9/10
Avg Shots On Goal
2.5
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
10.8%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate

Recent Matches

Libertad team flag

Libertad

Emelec team flagEmelec
1 - 1
LibertadLibertad team flag
April 12, 25
Libertad team flagLibertad
1 - 3
El Nac.El Nacional team flag
April 5, 25
Manta FC team flagManta FC
1 - 1
LibertadLibertad team flag
March 30, 25
Libertad team flagLibertad
4 - 1
Orense SCOrense SC team flag
March 15, 25
Deportivo Cuenca team flagDeportivo
0 - 1
LibertadLibertad team flag
March 8, 25

Insights

Scored in last 5 matches
Scored 4 goals in a single match
El Nacional team flag

El Nacional

Barcelona SC team flagBarcelona
1 - 0
El Nac.El Nacional team flag
April 19, 25
El Nacional team flagEl Nac.
1 - 3
IndependienteIndependiente del Valle team flag
April 14, 25
Libertad team flagLibertad
1 - 3
El Nac.El Nacional team flag
April 5, 25
El Nacional team flagEl Nac.
0 - 1
Orense SCOrense SC team flag
March 30, 25
Universitario team flagUniversitario
3 - 2
El Nac.El Nacional team flag
March 22, 25

Head to Head

El Nacional team flagEl Nacional
1 - 4
LibertadLibertad team flag
Nov 10, 2024
Libertad team flagLibertad
0 - 2
El NacionalEl Nacional team flag
May 18, 2024
Libertad team flagLibertad
0 - 1
El NacionalEl Nacional team flag
Sep 26, 2023

Best Bets

Total - Home: Under 2.51.15
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.51.30
Double Chance: Home/Draw1.36
Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.40
Asian Handicap: Home +0.251.50
Goals Over/Under: Under 2.51.80

Prediction Insight

1 - 1
or1 - 0
61%

Statistical analysis indicates a compelling 61.3% probability for this outcome. Our models show positive trends in recent performance data, supported by tactical matchup advantages and historical precedents. While not our highest-confidence pick, the risk-reward ratio appears favorable based on comprehensive team analytics and situational factors.

High-Value Opportunity
Confidence Level: High
Libertad: We predicted 3 correct scores out of the last 8 games (38% accuracy)
El Nacional: We predicted 7 correct scores out of the last 8 games (88% accuracy)
61%

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