Liga MX

Mexico• Toluca de Lerdo
April 20, 25

Toluca

VS
01:05
...

Cruz Azul

Prediction:
1 - 1
(53%)

Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction | Expert AI Football Betting Tips & Match Analysis | April 20, 25

A compelling Liga MX clash sees Toluca look to defend their home territory against a visiting Cruz Azul side.

The home side, Toluca, enter this fixture in confident mood having won 7 of their recent 9 encounters. Their attacking prowess is evident with 2.4 goals per game, while their defense has remained solid with 3 clean sheets.
Cruz Azul journey to this fixture riding a wave of confidence, with 6 wins in their recent 9 outings. Their last five matches have produced 3 victories and an impressive 7.0 goals, highlighting their current momentum.

Cruz Azul have enjoyed considerable success in this fixture, securing 2 wins from 3 previous encounters. These matches have averaged 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Given the competitive nature of both teams and current circumstances, this match presents multiple potential outcomes, making it an intriguing tactical battle to watch.

Team Performance Metrics

home team flag

Toluca

Average Goals per Game
2.80
Average of 2.8 goals scored per match
Formation
4-2-3-1
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.2
Defensive Efficiency rated 7.2/10
Offensive Efficiency
7.0
Offensive Efficiency rated 7/10
Overall Team Performance
7.2
Overall team performance rated 7.2/10
Avg Shots On Goal
7.2
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
34.3%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate
away team flag

Cruz Azul

Average Goals per Game
1.80
Average of 1.8 goals scored per match
Formation
3-5-2
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.2
Defensive Efficiency rated 7.2/10
Offensive Efficiency
7.1
Offensive Efficiency rated 7.1/10
Overall Team Performance
7.1
Overall team performance rated 7.1/10
Avg Shots On Goal
6.2
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
46.6%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate

Recent Matches

Toluca team flag

Toluca

Insights

100% win rate in last 5 matches
Scored in last 5 matches
+7 goal difference in last 5 matches
Unbeaten in last 5 matches
Averaging 2.4 goals per match

Head to Head

Best Bets

Asian Handicap: Away -1.251.27
Double Chance: Home/Draw1.34
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.51.40
Asian Handicap: Away -0.51.65
Double Chance: Draw/Away1.65
Match Winner: Draw3.50

Prediction Insight

1 - 1
53%

With a balanced 53.2% probability rating, this prediction offers moderate value. Our analysis reveals mixed but generally positive indicators, including relevant historical patterns and current form metrics. Consider this a calculated opportunity that requires strategic stake management. Key performance indicators suggest potential upside, though market volatility should be factored into betting decisions.

Balanced Value Play
Confidence Level: Moderate
Cruz Azul: We predicted 4 correct scores out of the last 8 games (50% accuracy)
53%

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