Liga MX

Mexico• Toluca de Lerdo
March 29, 25

Toluca

3 - 2
Final

Pachuca

Prediction:
1 - 1
(69%)
19°Cscattered clouds
16% 2.97 m/s

Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction | Expert AI Football Betting Tips & Match Analysis | March 29, 25

The Liga MX takes center stage as Toluca face off against Pachuca in what promises to be a compelling clash at Toluca de Lerdo.

Toluca's recent form has been nothing short of exceptional, with 6 wins from 9 matches. Their last five games have yielded 3 victories and 13.0 goals, showcasing their current momentum.
Pachuca have demonstrated consistency in recent fixtures, with 3 draws from their last 9 matches and an average of 1.6 goals per game highlighting their competitive nature.

The head-to-head record reflects the evenly matched nature of this fixture, with 1 draws and an average of 4.7 goals per game maintaining interest throughout.

With both teams capable of influencing the outcome, this fixture promises to be an engaging tactical contest.

Team Performance Metrics

home team flag

Toluca

Average Goals per Game
2.90
Average of 2.9 goals scored per match
Formation
4-2-3-1
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.2
Defensive Efficiency rated 7.2/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.9
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.9/10
Overall Team Performance
7.1
Overall team performance rated 7.1/10
Avg Shots On Goal
6.8
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
29.8%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate
away team flag

Pachuca

Average Goals per Game
2.00
Average of 2 goals scored per match
Formation
4-2-3-1
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
6.1
Defensive Efficiency rated 6.1/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.1
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.1/10
Overall Team Performance
6.1
Overall team performance rated 6.1/10
Avg Shots On Goal
6.3
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
22.4%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate

Recent Matches

Toluca team flag

Toluca

Atletico San Luis team flagAtletico San.
0 - 1
TolucaToluca team flag
April 17, 25
Atlas team flagAtlas
2 - 3
TolucaToluca team flag
April 13, 25
Toluca team flagToluca
2 - 1
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna team flag
April 7, 25
Toluca team flagToluca
3 - 2
PachucaPachuca team flag
March 29, 25
Puebla team flagPuebla
0 - 3
TolucaToluca team flag
March 15, 25

Insights

100% win rate in last 5 matches
Scored in last 5 matches
+7 goal difference in last 5 matches
Unbeaten in last 5 matches
Averaging 2.4 goals per match
Pachuca team flag

Pachuca

Pachuca team flagPachuca
0 - 0
Tigres UANLTigres UANL team flag
April 16, 25
Necaxa team flagNecaxa
3 - 5
PachucaPachuca team flag
April 12, 25
Pachuca team flagPachuca
1 - 0
Club A.Club America team flag
April 5, 25
Toluca team flagToluca
3 - 2
PachucaPachuca team flag
March 29, 25
Pachuca team flagPachuca
4 - 1
Club T.Club Tijuana team flag
March 17, 25

Insights

60% win rate in last 5 matches
Scored 5 goals in a single match
Averaging 2.4 goals per match

Head to Head

Pachuca team flagPachuca
2 - 2
TolucaToluca team flag
Sep 18, 2024
Pachuca team flagPachuca
2 - 3
TolucaToluca team flag
Mar 31, 2024
Toluca team flagToluca
5 - 0
PachucaPachuca team flag
Sep 3, 2023

Best Bets

Double Chance: Home/Draw1.25
Asian Handicap: Away -1.251.42
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.51.53
Asian Handicap: Away -0.51.93
Double Chance: Draw/Away1.93
Match Winner: Draw4.00

Prediction Insight

1 - 1
69%

Statistical analysis indicates a compelling 68.8% probability for this outcome. Our models show positive trends in recent performance data, supported by tactical matchup advantages and historical precedents. While not our highest-confidence pick, the risk-reward ratio appears favorable based on comprehensive team analytics and situational factors.

High-Value Opportunity
Confidence Level: High
Pachuca: We predicted 6 correct scores out of the last 8 games (75% accuracy)
69%

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