Championship

England• Derby
April 18, 25

Derby

0 - 1
Final

Luton

Prediction:
1 - 0or1 - 1
(61%)
14°Covercast clouds
77% 5.09 m/s

Derby vs Luton Prediction | Expert AI Football Betting Tips & Match Analysis | April 18, 25

A compelling Championship clash sees Derby look to defend their home territory against a visiting Luton side.

Recent performances from Derby have been marked by stability, securing 2 draws and averaging 1.2 goals per game. Their defensive record of 3 clean sheets demonstrates their resilience.
Luton have shown resilience on their travels, securing 3 draws from 9 matches while maintaining a solid defensive record with 3 clean sheets.

Historical encounters heavily favor Derby, who have secured 1 victories in their previous 1 meetings. These clashes have produced an average of 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 100% of matches.

With both teams capable of influencing the outcome, this fixture promises to be an engaging tactical contest.

Team Performance Metrics

home team flag

Derby

Average Goals per Game
1.30
Average of 1.3 goals scored per match
Formation
3-4-3
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.0
Defensive Efficiency rated 7/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.8
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.8/10
Overall Team Performance
7.0
Overall team performance rated 7/10
Avg Shots On Goal
1.9
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
50.0%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate
away team flag

Luton

Average Goals per Game
0.80
Average of 0.8 goals scored per match
Formation
3-5-2
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.0
Defensive Efficiency rated 7/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.7
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.7/10
Overall Team Performance
7.0
Overall team performance rated 7/10
Avg Shots On Goal
3.2
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
19.1%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate

Recent Matches

Head to Head

Best Bets

Goals Over/Under: Under 3.51.15
Double Chance: Home/Draw1.34
Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.38
Asian Handicap: Home +0.251.48

Prediction Insight

1 - 0
or1 - 1
61%

Statistical analysis indicates a compelling 60.7% probability for this outcome. Our models show positive trends in recent performance data, supported by tactical matchup advantages and historical precedents. While not our highest-confidence pick, the risk-reward ratio appears favorable based on comprehensive team analytics and situational factors.

High-Value Opportunity
Confidence Level: High
Luton: We predicted 7 correct scores out of the last 8 games (88% accuracy)
61%

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