KNVB Beker

Netherlands• Alkmaar
January 14, 25

AZ Alkmaar

2 - 0
Final

Ajax

Prediction:
1 - 1
(41%)
7°Covercast clouds
96% 3.44 m/s

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction | Expert AI Football Betting Tips & Match Analysis | January 14, 25

A compelling KNVB Beker clash sees AZ Alkmaar look to defend their home territory against a visiting Ajax side.

The home side, AZ Alkmaar, enter this fixture in confident mood having won 5 of their recent 9 encounters. Their attacking prowess is evident with 1.6 goals per game, while their defense has remained solid with 2 clean sheets.
Away specialists Ajax have demonstrated their traveling credentials with 5 wins from 9 matches, maintaining an impressive average of 1.9 goals per game on their travels.

Historical encounters heavily favor AZ Alkmaar, who have secured 2 victories in their previous 3 meetings. These clashes have produced an average of 2.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 66% of matches.

With both teams capable of influencing the outcome, this fixture promises to be an engaging tactical contest.

Team Performance Metrics

home team flag

AZ Alkmaar

Average Goals per Game
1.40
Average of 1.4 goals scored per match
Formation
4-2-3-1
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.0
Defensive Efficiency rated 7/10
Offensive Efficiency
7.0
Offensive Efficiency rated 7/10
Overall Team Performance
7.0
Overall team performance rated 7/10
Avg Shots On Goal
6.5
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
26.5%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate
away team flag

Ajax

Average Goals per Game
1.70
Average of 1.7 goals scored per match
Formation
4-3-3
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.0
Defensive Efficiency rated 7/10
Offensive Efficiency
7.1
Offensive Efficiency rated 7.1/10
Overall Team Performance
7.0
Overall team performance rated 7/10
Avg Shots On Goal
5.2
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
39.6%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate

Recent Matches

Head to Head

Best Bets

Total - Home: Under 2.51.18
Asian Handicap: Away -1.251.20
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.51.47
Double Chance: Home/Draw1.51
Asian Handicap: Away -0.251.65
Asian Handicap: Home +0.251.66
Match Winner: Draw3.75

Prediction Insight

1 - 1
41%

With a balanced 40.7% probability rating, this prediction offers moderate value. Our analysis reveals mixed but generally positive indicators, including relevant historical patterns and current form metrics. Consider this a calculated opportunity that requires strategic stake management. Key performance indicators suggest potential upside, though market volatility should be factored into betting decisions.

Balanced Value Play
Confidence Level: Moderate
AZ Alkmaar: We predicted 4 correct scores out of the last 8 games (50% accuracy)
41%

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