Primeira Liga

Portugal• Amadora
December 9, 24

Estrela

2 - 1
Final

Arouca

Prediction:
1 - 1or1 - 2
(53%)

Estrela vs Arouca Prediction | Expert AI Football Betting Tips & Match Analysis | December 9, 24

A compelling Primeira Liga clash sees Estrela look to defend their home territory against a visiting Arouca side.

Estrela approach this fixture having drawn 2 of their last 9 matches, with their recent form characterized by solid defensive displays resulting in 1 clean sheets.
Recent travels have proven challenging for Arouca, with 5 losses in their previous 9 outings. Their defensive record of 3 clean sheets suggests room for improvement in their organizational structure.

Previous meetings between these sides have been remarkably balanced, with 1 draws highlighting their competitive nature. Matches have averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 encounters.

Given the competitive nature of both teams and current circumstances, this match presents multiple potential outcomes, making it an intriguing tactical battle to watch.

Team Performance Metrics

home team flag

Estrela

Average Goals per Game
0.50
Average of 0.5 goals scored per match
Formation
3-4-2-1
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
6.8
Defensive Efficiency rated 6.8/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.7
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.7/10
Overall Team Performance
6.7
Overall team performance rated 6.7/10
Avg Shots On Goal
2.6
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
21.5%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate
away team flag

Arouca

Average Goals per Game
1.30
Average of 1.3 goals scored per match
Formation
4-3-3
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
6.9
Defensive Efficiency rated 6.9/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.7
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.7/10
Overall Team Performance
6.9
Overall team performance rated 6.9/10
Avg Shots On Goal
4.2
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
32.7%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate

Recent Matches

Estrela team flag

Estrela

Arouca team flagArouca
1 - 0
EstrelaEstrela team flag
April 19, 25
Estrela team flagEstrela
0 - 1
FarenseFarense team flag
April 13, 25
Nacional team flagNacional
0 - 1
EstrelaEstrela team flag
April 6, 25
Estrela team flagEstrela
0 - 3
Sporting CPSporting CP team flag
March 29, 25
Guimaraes team flagGuimaraes
2 - 0
EstrelaEstrela team flag
March 16, 25
Arouca team flag

Arouca

Arouca team flagArouca
1 - 0
EstrelaEstrela team flag
April 19, 25
Benfica team flagBenfica
2 - 2
AroucaArouca team flag
April 13, 25
Arouca team flagArouca
1 - 2
FamalicaoFamalicao team flag
April 5, 25
SC Braga team flagSC Braga
2 - 1
AroucaArouca team flag
March 29, 25
Arouca team flagArouca
1 - 1
EstorilEstoril team flag
March 16, 25

Insights

Scored in last 5 matches

Head to Head

Arouca team flagArouca
0 - 0
EstrelaEstrela team flag
May 5, 2024
Estrela team flagEstrela
1 - 4
AroucaArouca team flag
Dec 28, 2023

Best Bets

Goals Over/Under: Over 1.51.38
Total - Away: Over 0.51.38
Double Chance: Draw/Away1.53

Prediction Insight

1 - 1
or1 - 2
53%

With a balanced 52.5% probability rating, this prediction offers moderate value. Our analysis reveals mixed but generally positive indicators, including relevant historical patterns and current form metrics. Consider this a calculated opportunity that requires strategic stake management. Key performance indicators suggest potential upside, though market volatility should be factored into betting decisions.

Balanced Value Play
Confidence Level: Moderate
Arouca: We predicted 5 correct scores out of the last 8 games (63% accuracy)
53%

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