CONMEBOL Libertadores

World• Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
April 2, 25

Velez Sarsfield

2 - 1
Final

Penarol

22°Cclear sky
50% 2.21 m/s

Velez Sarsfield vs Penarol Prediction | Expert AI Football Betting Tips & Match Analysis | April 2, 25

A compelling CONMEBOL Libertadores clash sees Velez Sarsfield look to defend their home territory against a visiting Penarol side.

Velez Sarsfield have shown consistency in sharing points, with 2 draws from their recent 9 matches. Their defensive organization has yielded 3 clean sheets, while maintaining a steady scoring rate of 0.3 goals per game.
Penarol have shown resilience on their travels, securing 3 draws from 9 matches while maintaining a solid defensive record with 1 clean sheets.

The evenly matched nature of these sides suggests a closely contested encounter where fine margins could prove decisive.

Team Performance Metrics

home team flag

Velez Sarsfield

Average Goals per Game
0.60
Average of 0.6 goals scored per match
Formation
4-3-3
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
6.9
Defensive Efficiency rated 6.91/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.7
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.71/10
Overall Team Performance
6.9
Overall team performance rated 6.87/10
Avg Shots On Goal
3.0
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
3.3%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate
away team flag

Penarol

Average Goals per Game
0.70
Average of 0.7 goals scored per match
Formation
4-4-1-1
Most commonly used formation
Defensive Efficiency
7.1
Defensive Efficiency rated 7.13/10
Offensive Efficiency
6.9
Offensive Efficiency rated 6.86/10
Overall Team Performance
7.1
Overall team performance rated 7.07/10
Avg Shots On Goal
5.3
Average shots on target per match
Goal Conversion Rate
33.3%
Shot-to-goal conversion rate

Recent Matches

home team flag

Velez Sarsfield

Velez SarsfieldVelez S.
2 - 1
PenarolPenarol
April 2, 25
Velez SarsfieldVelez S.
0 - 1
DeportivoDeportivo Riestra
March 29, 25
Atletico TucumanAtletico T.
1 - 2
Velez S.Velez Sarsfield
March 18, 25
Velez SarsfieldVelez S.
1 - 0
San M. S.J.San Martin S.J.
March 7, 25
Velez SarsfieldVelez S.
0 - 2
HuracanHuracan
March 2, 25

Insights

60% win rate in last 5 matches
away team flag

Penarol

Velez SarsfieldVelez S.
2 - 1
PenarolPenarol
April 2, 25
PenarolPenarol
0 - 2
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
March 30, 25
JuventudJuventud
0 - 2
PenarolPenarol
March 27, 25
PenarolPenarol
0 - 3
LiverpoolLiverpool Montevideo
March 20, 25
Plaza ColoniaPlaza C.
1 - 0
PenarolPenarol
March 15, 25

Best Bets

Double Chance: Draw/Away1.77

Prediction Insight

0 - 1
or1 - 1
63%

Statistical analysis indicates a compelling 63.2% probability for this outcome. Our models show positive trends in recent performance data, supported by tactical matchup advantages and historical precedents. While not our highest-confidence pick, the risk-reward ratio appears favorable based on comprehensive team analytics and situational factors.

High-Value Opportunity
Confidence Level: High
Velez Sarsfield: We predicted 7 correct scores out of the last 8 games (88% accuracy)
Penarol: We predicted 3 correct scores out of the last 8 games (38% accuracy)
63%

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